Chart Pattern Overview: Structure, Context, and Failure
In the candle pattern series,
we focused on psychology compressed into one or a few candles.
Now we zoom out and look at larger structures such as:
- Triangles
- Wedges
- Double tops/bottoms
- Head & Shoulders
- Dead cat bounces
- Elliott waves, harmonic patterns, Dow theory
But the core perspective stays the same:
It is not “this shape means price must go up/down”,
but rather
“what kind of flow and battle of forces
is summarized by this structure, at this location?”
1. Candle patterns vs chart patterns: different granularity
First, let’s clarify how they differ.
-
Candle patterns
- Focus on a very small group of candles
- Allow for very tight entries and stops
- But are more vulnerable to noise
-
Chart patterns
- Look at the structure over many candles
- Help you understand “Is this a correction or the start of a new trend?”
- But take time to form and often morph while forming
In practice, a common workflow is:
- Use chart patterns (big picture) to gauge
which side has a structural advantage, then - Use candle patterns (fine detail) inside that structure
to refine entries and stops.
2. What you must always pair with chart patterns
Chart patterns are almost meaningless if you strip them from context.
At minimum, you want to view them together with the following four elements:
-
Support and resistance
- As covered in Support & Resistance basics,
- For any triangle or wedge, “where it sits relative to major levels” is crucial.
- For example, a rising wedge right under a long-term monthly resistance
is very different from a wedge in the middle of a noisy range.
-
Swing vs correction
- From Swing vs Correction,
- The same double top means something different if it forms:
- at the end of a long up-swing, or
- inside a large range as just another fluctuation.
-
Timeframe
- As discussed in Timeframes,
- A head & shoulders pattern on a 5-minute chart
might be just a small wick on the daily. - It often makes sense to:
- first identify structures on 4h / daily or higher, then
- use lower timeframes for precise execution.
-
Volume
- Adding Volume to the picture:
- Is volume drying up inside a triangle?
- Does it expand on the breakout?
- How does volume look when the breakout fails?
- Adding Volume to the picture:
In short,
don’t look at shape alone.
Always bring Level + Structure + Volume
into the same frame.
3. What this series will cover
In this section we’ll group chart patterns broadly into three buckets.
3-1. Trend continuation patterns
Structures that suggest a trend may pause and then continue.
- Triangles
- Wedges
We’ll look at:
- how highs and lows contract or expand inside the pattern,
- whether volume contracts or holds inside the range, and
- which styles of breakout tend to be healthier.
3-2. Trend reversal patterns
Structures that suggest an existing trend may be weakening or ending.
- Double tops/bottoms
→ double-top-bottom - Head & Shoulders
→ head-and-shoulders - Dead cat bounce
→ dead-cat-bounce
We will focus on:
- where the trend’s swing structure first breaks,
- where the critical boundary is (neckline, range low/high),
- and what happens when that boundary is broken briefly
and then reclaimed (failed pattern).
3-3. Wave / complex structure patterns
These offer a more abstract view of market structure.
- Elliott wave theory
→ elliott - Harmonic patterns
→ harmonic - Dow theory
→ dow - Hindenburg Omen
→ hindenburg-omen
Here, the focus is less on memorizing shapes and more on
“How well does this structure summarize a cycle of crowd psychology?”
4. Common pitfalls when using chart patterns
Chart patterns can be powerful tools,
but misused, they can lock you into theory-driven trading.
A few common pitfalls:
-
Fitting patterns after the fact
- After price has already moved, it’s easy to say
“It was a double top here” or “That was a triangle”. - This can be useful for review,
but it doesn’t directly help with real-time execution.
- After price has already moved, it’s easy to say
-
Over-believing the pattern name
- “It’s a Head & Shoulders, so a big drop must follow” is a dangerous mindset.
- In live markets, you’ll see:
- clean Head & Shoulders that only break the neckline slightly and then recover, and
- double tops that end up breaking to new highs.
-
Ignoring invalidation
- Each pattern should have a clear
“Beyond this price, I’ll no longer treat it as this pattern” invalidation level. - Without that, you essentially have no stop-loss logic.
- Each pattern should have a clear
-
Ignoring the position in the swing
- The same triangle means something different when it forms:
- early in a new trend,
- in the middle of a healthy swing, or
- after a long, stretched move in a late-stage, overextended trend.
- swing-vs-correction is key:
always ask, “Is this early/mid/late in the current swing?”
- The same triangle means something different when it forms:
5. Suggested learning path for this section
The more you try to memorize everything at once,
the easier it is to get confused.
A gentle progression might look like this:
-
Review the basics
-
Read this overview (current page)
- Just to see “what patterns exist and how they’re grouped”.
-
Continuation patterns
-
Reversal patterns
-
Wave / complex structures
6. A minimum checklist for live trading
When a chart pattern catches your eye,
it’s useful to answer at least these questions before planning a trade:
-
“What is the dominant higher timeframe trend?”
- On daily / 4h, is the market:
- trending up,
- trending down, or
- ranging?
- On daily / 4h, is the market:
-
“Where does this pattern sit inside that trend?”
- Early / middle / late in the swing?
-
“What are the key levels?”
- Neckline, range high/low,
- well-tested weekly/monthly support or resistance, etc.
-
“Where is the pattern invalidated?”
- If price moves here,
you stop treating it as this pattern and stop defending the idea.
- If price moves here,
-
“How will you place entry, stop, and target?”
- Using the pattern’s height/width,
- recent volatility (ATR),
- and your overall risk management rules.
In each of the following articles,
the focus will not be:
- “What is the textbook definition of this pattern?”
but rather:
- “What kind of market situation does this structure summarize,
and what decisions are traders likely to make inside it?”
If you keep thinking in terms of structure + psychology,
chart patterns will become tools for framing scenarios,
not rigid templates that you feel forced to trade.